Trumped: The 2016 Election That Broke All the Rules

by Larry Sabato Director, University of Virginia's Center for Politics (Editor), Kyle Kondik (Editor), Geoffrey Skelley (Editor)

Overview

In 2016, Donald Trump broke almost all the rules of politics to win the Republican nomination and, even more improbably, to edge out heavily favored Hillary Clinton in one of the great upsets in presidential campaign history. In Trumped: The 2016 Election That Broke All the Rules, Larry Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and Geoffrey Skelley, leading experts in American politics, bring together respected journalists, analysts, and scholars to examine every facet of the stunning 2016 election and what its improbable outcome will mean for the nation moving forward under a Trump administration. In frank, accessible prose, each author offers insight that goes beyond the headlines and dives into the underlying forces and shifts that drove the election from its earliest developments to its dramatic conclusion as one of the greatest upsets in presidential campaign history. Trumped will be an indispensable read for political junkies and all students of American politics.

Contributions by Alan Abramowitz, Matt Barreto, David Byler, Anthony Cilluffo, Rhodes Cook, Robert Costa, Ariel Edwards-Levy, Natalie Jackson, Kyle Kondik, Susan MacManus, Diana Owen, Ron Rapoport, Larry Sabato, Greg Sargent, Tom Schaller, Gary Segura, Geoffrey Skelley, Walter Stone, Michael Toner, Karen Trainer, Sean Trende, and Janie Valencia

Product Details

ISBN-13:	9781442279384
Publisher:	Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc.
Publication date:	03/31/2017
Pages:	268
Product dimensions:	5.90(w) x 8.90(h) x 1.00(d)

About the Author

Larry J. Sabato is the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia and director of its Center for Politics. He is the author or editor of more than twenty books on American politics and elections.

Kyle Kondik is managing editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the University of Virginia Center for Politics’ nonpartisan newsletter on American campaigns and elections. He is the author of The Bellwether: Why Ohio Picks the President (2016).

Geoffrey Skelley is associate editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the University of Virginia Center for Politics’ nonpartisan newsletter on American campaigns and elections.

Table of Contents

Introduction and Acknowledgments

1. The 2016 Election that Broke All, or At Least Most, of the Rules, by Larry J. Sabato

2. Demographic Coalitions: How Trump Picked the Democratic Lock and Won the Presidency, by David Byler

3. Straight Tickets for Senate, Some Split Tickets for Governor: The 2016 Senate and Gubernatorial Elections, by Geoffrey Skelley

4. House 2016: The Republicans Endure, by Kyle Kondik

5. Presidential Primaries: A Hit at the Ballot Box, by Rhodes Cook

6. Donald Trump and a GOP Primary Race Like No Other, by Robert Costa

7. “Feel the Bern,” Hillary’s Agonizing Loss, and the Future of the Democratic Party, by Greg Sargent

8. Latinos and the 2016 Election, by Matt Barreto, Thomas Schaller, and Gary Segura

9. The Sources of Trump’s Support, by Ronald Rapoport and Walt Stone

10. Polling in the 2016 Election, by Ariel Edwards-Levy, Natalie Jackson, and Janie Velencia

11. Twitter Rants, Press Bashing, and Fake News: The Shameful Legacy of Media in the 2016 Election, by Diana Owen

12. The Seven-Billion-Dollar Election: Emerging Campaign Finance Trends and their Impact on the 2016 Presidential Race and Beyond, by Michael E. Toner and Karen E. Trainer

13. It Wasn’t the Economy, Stupid: Racial Polarization, White Racial Resentment, and the Rise of Trump, by Alan I. Abramowitz

14. The “Emerging Democratic Majority” Fails to Emerge, by Sean Trende

15. Ten Takeaways from Campaign 2016 and a Look Forward, by Susan A. MacManus and Anthony A. Cilluffo

Notes
Index
About the Contributors

Editorial Reviews

Praise for Larry Sabato’s Barack Obama and the New America: “This book will serve as an excellent introduction to the science of politics as well as an update for experts in the field. Highly recommended.

CHOICE

Praise for Barack Obama and the New America: President Obama’s reelection was the third consecutive reelection of a president—following Presidents Clinton and Bush—during periods of war, terrorist attacks, great financial turmoil, and sharp political divisions. Looking beyond the headlines of political reporting on what many view as a very long and drawn-out presidential race, political scholar Sabato offers broader and deeper analysis through 12 contributors, journalists, analysts, and academics. Sabato begins with an overview of the election, focusing on Obama’s break with several points of conventional wisdom (e.g., that high unemployment and low favorability ratings among white voters would doom his chances) and examines Republican missteps, including misreading the midterm elections and moving strongly to the Right. Contributors, including Nate Cohn of the New Republic, Robert Costa of National Review, a former chairman of the Federal Elections Commission, and the publisher of Congressional Quarterly, offer keen analysis on a wide range of topics from voting patterns to press coverage to the impact of outside funding. They also explore the nominating process, the impact of changing demographics on likely political realignments, and the prospects for the Republican and Democratic Parties.

Booklist

Praise for Larry Sabato’s Barack Obama and the New America: “This book will serve as an excellent introduction to the science of politics as well as an update for experts in the field. Highly recommended.”

Choice Reviews

Praise for Barack Obama and the New America: President Obama’s reelection was the third consecutive reelection of a president—following Presidents Clinton and Bush—during periods of war, terrorist attacks, great financial turmoil, and sharp political divisions. Looking beyond the headlines of political reporting on what many view as a very long and drawn-out presidential race, political scholar Sabato offers broader and deeper analysis through 12 contributors, journalists, analysts, and academics. Sabato begins with an overview of the election, focusing on Obama’s break with several points of conventional wisdom (e.g., that high unemployment and low favorability ratings among white voters would doom his chances) and examines Republican missteps, including misreading the midterm elections and moving strongly to the Right. Contributors, including Nate Cohn of the New Republic, Robert Costa of National Review, a former chairman of the Federal Elections Commission, and the publisher of Congressional Quarterly, offer keen analysis on a wide range of topics from voting patterns to press coverage to the impact of outside funding. They also explore the nominating process, the impact of changing demographics on likely political realignments, and the prospects for the Republican and Democratic Parties.

Booklist

Praise for Larry Sabato’s Barack Obama and the New America: “This book will serve as an excellent introduction to the science of politics as well as an update for experts in the field. Highly recommended.

Choice